fa هزینه‌های تحمیلی بر جامعه در اثر سوانح ترافیکی در سال 1400 اپیدمیولوژی Epidemiology كاربردي Applicable <div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size:11pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span style="direction:rtl"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><b><span lang="AR-SA" style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">سابقه و هدف</span></span></b><b><span b="" lang="AR-SA" nazanin="" style="font-family:">: </span></b><span lang="AR-SA" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">با توجه به اهمیت هزینه سوانح ترافیکی علاوه بر تألمات روحی و اجتماعی و نیز روند رو به افزایش آمار تصادفات و خلأ اطلاعاتی در مورد نداشتن برآورد هزینه‌ها بر مبنای مدل و الگویی، این تحقیق روی یافته‌های سوانح ترافیکی در سال 1400 انجام شد</span></span></span><span dir="LTR" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">.</span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA" style="line-height:110%"><span style="font-family:"B Nazanin""></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br> <span style="font-size:11pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span style="direction:rtl"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><b><span lang="AR-SA" style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">روش کار:</span></span></b> <span lang="AR-SA" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">تحقیق به روش توصیفی و اکتشافی انجام شد. در سال 1400 از مجموعه کاربران راه تعداد 385 نفر (که شامل سرنشینان، رانندگان وسایط نقلیه چهارچرخ موتوری موتورسیکلت‌سواران و عابران پیاده بودند) به روش تصادفی انتخاب شدند و برآورد هزینه‌ها با استفاده از </span></span></span><span lang="FA" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">مدل </span></span></span><span dir="LTR" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">willingness to pay</span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:"> و روش </span></span></span><span dir="LTR" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">(contingent value, stated preference, revealed preference)</span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:"> انجام و تحلیل داده &shy;ها با استفاده از (</span></span></span><span dir="LTR" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">Weibull and Bayesian models</span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">) و آماره توصیفی ارائه شد.</span></span></span><span dir="LTR" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br> <span style="font-size:11pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span style="direction:rtl"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><b><span lang="AR-SA" style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">یافته</span></span></b><b><span dir="LTR" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%">‌</span></span></b><b><span lang="AR-SA" style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">ها:</span></span></b> <span lang="AR-SA" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">در سال 1400، 16778 مورد مرگ وجود داشت. برآورد هزینه فوت یک نفر 19/7میلیارد تومان و کل هزینه‌ها 330754 میلیارد تومان برآورد شد. برای مصدومان هزینه به میزان 76527 میلیارد تومان برآورد شد و براساس درآمد ناخالص ملی، حدود 11/14 درصد کل درآمد ناخالص را شامل می‌شود</span></span></span><span dir="LTR" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">.</span></span></span><span dir="LTR" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br> <span style="font-size:11pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span style="direction:rtl"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><b><span lang="AR-SA" style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">نتیجه</span></span></b><b><span dir="LTR" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%">‌</span></span></b><b><span lang="AR-SA" style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">گیری</span></span></b><span lang="AR-SA" style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">:</span></span> <span lang="AR-SA" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span b="" nazanin="" style="font-family:">به نظر می‌رسد که هزینه سوانح تصادفات کشور در سال 1400 بالا بوده و علاوه بر تألمات روحی و اجتماعی جای نگرانی دارد. پیشنهاد می‌شود که برنامه‌هایی برای پیشگیری و کنترل از سوانح ترافیکی انجام شود</span></span></span><span dir="LTR" style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:110%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">.</span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA" style="line-height:110%"><span style="font-family:"B Nazanin""></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></div> <span style="font-size:11pt"><span style="background:yellow"><span style="direction:rtl"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span style="line-height:115%"><span sans-serif="" style="font-family:Calibri,"><span lang="AR-SA" style="font-size:16.0pt"><span style="line-height:115%"><span style="font-family:"B Nazanin""></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span> <div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size:11pt"><span style="line-height:112%"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:112%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">Background and Aim:</span></span></span></b> <span style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:112%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">Due to the importance of the cost of traffic injuries, in addition to mental and social suffering, the increasing trend of accident statistics,and the lack of information about the cost estimation based on a willingness to pay model, this research was conducted on the findings of traffic injuries in 2021.</span></span></span><span style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="line-height:112%"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br> <span style="font-size:11pt"><span style="line-height:112%"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="line-height:112%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">Methods:</span></span></span></span></b> <span style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:112%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">The research was done by the descriptive and exploratory method. In the year of 1400, 385 samples were randomly selected from the collection of road users (which included passengers, drivers of four-wheeled motor vehicles, motorcyclists, and pedestrians), and the road traffic injury costs were estimated using the willingness to pay model and the method (contingent value, stated preference, revealed preference) .Data analysis was performed using Weibull and Bayesian models and descriptive statistics.</span></span></span><span style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="line-height:112%"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br> <span style="font-size:11pt"><span style="line-height:112%"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="line-height:112%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">Results:</span></span></span></span></b> <span style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:112%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">In 2021, there were 16,778 deaths. The cost of one person&#39;s death was estimated at 19.7 billion tomans, and the total costs were estimated at 330,754 billion tomans. The cost for the injured was estimated at 76,527 billion tomans, and based on the gross national income; it includes about 11.14 percent of the total gross income.</span></span></span><span style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="background:white"><span style="line-height:112%"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><br> <span style="font-size:11pt"><span style="line-height:112%"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:112%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">Conclusion:</span></span></span></b> <span style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:112%"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times="">It seems that the cost of road traffic injuries in the country was high in 2021 and in addition to mental and social suffering; there is a cause for concern. It is suggested that programs for the prevention and control of traffic injuries be carried out.</span></span></span><span style="font-size:10.0pt"><span style="line-height:112%"><span style="font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"></span></span></span></span></span></span></div> هزینه؛ فوت؛ جرح؛ تمایل به پرداخت؛ سوانح ترافیکی cost, death, injury, willingness to pay, traffic injuries 78 92 http://pejouhesh.sbmu.ac.ir/browse.php?a_code=A-10-4572-1&slc_lang=fa&sid=1 Elaheh Ainy الهه عینی ainy.elaheh@gmail.com 100319475328460028996 100319475328460028996 Yes Safety Promotion and Injury Prevention Research Center of Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran. مرکز تحقیقات ارتقای ایمنی و پیشگیری از مصدومیت‌ها، دانشگاه علوم پزشکی شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران. Hamid Soori حمید سوری 100319475328460028997 100319475328460028997 No Safety Promotion and Injury Prevention Research Center of Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran. مرکز تحقیقات ارتقای ایمنی و پیشگیری از مصدومیت‌ها، دانشگاه علوم پزشکی شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران.